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Santanderҳ Stephen Stanley Predicts Potential Recession in 2024

CNBCҳ Steve Liesman and Stephen Stanley, chief US economist at Santander, join ѐower LunchҠto discuss their takeaways from the Fed minutes. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO:

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Santanderҳ chief economist Stephen Stanley has recently made headlines with his prediction that a recession is likely to occur in 2024. This forecast has sparked a lot of discussion and concern among economists and the general public. So, what exactly does this prediction mean, and what are the potential implications for the economy?

According to Stanley, several factors are contributing to his belief that a recession may be on the horizon. One of the main reasons is the expected tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. As the economy continues to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Fed is likely to raise interest rates to curb potential inflation. This could lead to a slowdown in economic growth and potentially trigger a recession.

Additionally, Stanley pointed to the potential for fiscal policy to shift away from the stimulus measures that have been in place to support the economy. As government spending decreases and stimulus measures expire, there is a risk that this could also contribute to a slowdown in economic activity.

Itҳ important to note that economic forecasts are not set in stone, and there are always variables and uncertainties that can influence the trajectory of the economy. However, Stanleyҳ prediction has raised concerns about the potential impact of a recession on businesses and individuals.

A recession could lead to higher unemployment rates, reduced consumer spending, and increased financial strain on businesses. This, in turn, could lead to a decrease in investment and overall economic activity. These effects could be particularly challenging for individuals and families who are already facing financial hardships due to the pandemic.

In response to these concerns, itҳ important for individuals and businesses to consider potential strategies for navigating a potential recession. This may include building up emergency savings, diversifying investments, and seeking out new opportunities for growth and stability.

At the same time, policymakers and government leaders will need to carefully consider their approach to economic policy in the coming years. Balancing the need to control inflation with the need to support economic growth will be a delicate task, and the decisions made in this context could have far-reaching implications for the economy.

While itҳ impossible to predict the future with certainty, itҳ clear that Stanleyҳ forecast has brought attention to potential challenges on the economic horizon. By staying informed and proactive, individuals and businesses can better position themselves to weather potential economic turbulence and work towards a more stable and prosperous future.

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